While I was watching college football this past weekend, I was rooting for upsets. I wanted LSU to lose to Arkansas, and I wanted Missouri to beat Kansas. Yeah, I know Missouri's win wasn't technically an upset, but I just didn't want Kansas to stay undefeated.
I wasn't doing it because I'm a huge fan of chaos or anything, though I'll admit it's fun to watch, I was doing it because I want Illinois to get to a BCS game.
And as of now, everything's falling into place. According to the Chicago Tribune's Teddy Greenstein, the Illini now have a 75% chance of playing in a BCS game.
Those figures come from Jerry Palm, the collegeBCS.com analyst who first talked up Illinois' BCS chances two weeks ago. He now believes the Illini have a 75 percent chance to crack college football's holy grail of bowls—and that might even be understating it.
So far everything that has needed to happen has been happening. The next step would be the a loss by Missouri against Oklahoma in the Big 12 Title game this Saturday. A Missouri loss would bump Ohio State back up into the title game against West Virginia-well if West Virginia doesn't lose at home to Pitt anyway-leaving a spot open in the Rose Bowl.
Here's where things get a bit weird though. You'd think that the Rose Bowl would like to replace Ohio State with Illinois to keep the traditional Pac-10/Big Ten matchup going. After all, the Rose Bowl was the only bowl who initially had a problem with the title game rotating between BCS bowls the last few years. They didn't want to lose the tradition of the game.
With that being said though, if they can't have Ohio State, the Rose Bowl wouldn't mind a USC/Georgia matchup. Here's what Mitch Dorger, the CEO of the Rose Bowl had
to say about the Bulldogs.
"They are on our mind," Dorger said of the Bulldogs. "They are not the only team that is on our mind, but we are cognizant of the great football they have been playing, and we are cognizant of the tradition and the enthusiasm of the fans.
"They would provide a matchup that would have a lot of people talking," he said
Even if the Rose Bowl does buck tradition and select Georgia, it wouldn't end the Illini's chances of getting into a BCS game. The Fiesta Bowl could end up being their destination. For that to happen, Missouri would have to beat Oklahoma this Saturday. That would ensure the Buckeyes go to Pasadena. Then the Fiesta Bowl would get first pick of at large teams because they will have lost Big 12 champ Missouri to the title game. The Orange Bowl would pick next because they will have lost Big East champ West Virginia to the title game as well.
Odds are the Fiesta would take Kansas, and the Orange Bowl would take Georgia. After those two though, the Fiesta gets to pick again, and their options would be Illinois, Arizona State and Hawaii.
It's doubtful that the Fiesta Bowl would choose Hawaii after taking Boise State last season because even though Boise's win over Oklahoma last year was one of the greatest games ever, it got killed in the ratings.
They may also be partial to Arizona State, but remember, these bowl games are about bringing in tourists and outside revenue. The in-state Sun Devils wouldn't accomplish that, leaving the Illini as the Fiesta's most logical choice.
So just because Illinois isn't playing this weekend, it doesn't mean they don't have a lot on the line as everybody else finishes up their season. And keep in mind, even if the Illini are snubbed by the BCS after all this, they'll still end up in the Capital One Bowl against Florida. Which would be an excellent consolation prize.
Foul Balls
Sean Taylor is Dead - Redskins safety Sean Taylor died this morning, a day after being shot in the leg by an intruder into his home early Monday morning.
The 24-year-old player died at Jackson Memorial Hospital, where he had been airlifted after the shooting early Monday, family friend Richard Sharpstein said. Sharpstein said Taylor's father informed him of the death at about 5:30 a.m.
"His father called and said he was with Christ and he cried and thanked me," said Sharpstein, Taylor's former lawyer. "It's a tremendously sad and unnecessary event. He was a wonderful, humble, talented young man, and had a huge life in front of him. Obviously God had other plans."
Taylor was shot in the femural artery, which is not exactly the best place in the world to get shot.
While this is obviously tragic for the Taylor family and the Redskins, I'm interested in what was really going on here. I don't think Taylor was shot by somebody who was just breaking into his house to rob him. I think somebody broke into his house with plans of killing him.
Last weekend somebody broke into the house, and according to police, there wasn't anything stolen. Instead there was a knife left on Taylor's bed. Also, and I'm not an experienced burglar, but when you break into somebody's house and the people wake up, you get out of the house. The "burglar" made his way up to Taylor's bedroom, burst in, and shot him.
It just doesn't seem quite right, and I think in the coming weeks there's going to be more information as to what really was going on.
Cedric Benson Is Done For the Year -
It's not exactly shocking news to anybody who saw Benson's injury on Sunday. Cedric Benson is out for the rest of the season, and
will need surgery on his left leg.
On Monday, Smith said Benson is scheduled to undergo season-ending surgery after injuring his lower left leg and ankle in the second quarter of Sunday's victory over the Denver Broncos. Benson was carted off the field and couldn't put pressure on the foot. He emerged later on crutches, wearing a protective boot.
Benson is the fourth player the Bears have lost for the season thanks to injury this season.
I know some people are happy about this because it means Adrian Peterson will finally have a chance to carry the load, but I'm not one of those people. I haven't exactly been quiet about my distaste for Cedric this season, but I also don't understand why people were so excited by Peterson on Sunday.
Yeah, he scored a touchdown, but he only gained 45 yards on 17 carries after taking over for Benson. That's only an average of 2.6 yards per carry, which is a half yard worse than what Benson has done all season.
Joe Novak Retires - He doesn't get as much attention because of where he coaches, but Northern Illinois head coach
Joe Novak has retired after 12 seasons as head coach of the Huskies.
"People have always said you'll know when it's time and I promise you, I know it's time," Novak said at a news conference. "Selfishly, it's time for my wife and I. It's been a great, great ride but it's time."
Novak's record at NIU was only 63-75, but it's important to remember the Huskies lost 23 straight games at the beginning of Novak's tenure. That's the condition the school's program was in before Novak took over, and he completely turned it around.
The Huskies were ranked as high as #12 in the AP poll back in 2003 after wins over ranked Maryland and Alabama. In 2004 he led the school to it's first bowl game in 21 years as the Huskies beat Troy in the Silicon Valley Bowl.
The Huskies were only 2-10 this season after losing most of their key players to graduation, but it ended a streak of seven straight winning seasons. Novak is going to be missed in DeKalb.